Rap-Up.com || Poll: Can Lil Wayne Sell a Milli with ‘Tha Carter IV’?

All eyes are on Lil Wayne as he prepares to release his ninth solo album Tha Carter IV on Monday. Anticipation for the fourth installment in Tha Carter series began several years ago and since then, the hip-hop heavyweight has built up his Young Money empire with superstars including Drake and Nicki Minaj, served eight months behind bars, and still managed to sell out arenas across the country.

Despite his continued success, industry pundits question whether Weezy will be able to repeat the blockbuster sales of Tha Carter III, which sold over one million copies in its first week in June 2008. So far, C4 has spawned four hit singles including “6 Foot 7 Foot,” “John,” “How to Love,” and “She Will,” but has yet to produce massive radio records like “Lollipop” or “A Milli.”

Will Wayne be able to dethrone Jay-Z and Kanye West, who currently have the biggest opening for a hip-hop album this year with Watch the Throne (436,000)? And can he top reigning pop queen Lady Gaga, who holds the biggest debut of 2011 with 1.1 million units sold of Born This Way?

How much do you think Tha Carter IV will sell in its first week? Weigh in by taking our poll below.

Posted in Lil Wayne, Polls | Permalink

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79 Comments

Outspoken
August 24th, 2011 at 9:32 am
I say no…but he will sell off his name. All his singles were weak to me.

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Tiffany Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 9:50 am
@Outspoken, i bet lil kim could

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Whatcha_Sayin Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 10:22 am
@Tiffany, Okay then!

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YUNG Reezy Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 10:40 am
@Whatcha_Sayin, 6 foot 7 foot was a strong single. the rest of them idk

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YoungTune Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 10:56 am
@Tiffany, lil kim ? :D lmao u jokin rigt ?

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Kia Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 12:14 pm
@YoungTune, Lil wayne is trash.

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Thats real Reply:
August 25th, 2011 at 9:18 am
@Tiffany, uuumm I think not..hahaha Wayne will do about 300 thou – 400 thou.. he has that fan base but a milli…smh not gon happen .. he dont have one good single. They all subpar. he knows it..thats why he kept pushing back the album. dropping singles and last but not least when ALL FAILS..THE HIP-HOP FORMULA – DISS JAY-Z

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AmbeRussell Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 9:57 pm
@Outspoken, people are forgetting the 1st single came out 8 monthes ago. every1 who wanted that song, gots it already. those other songs came and gone already. he had the album come out too late. and need i remind ever1 of this 1 rnb singer who sole a mill in a week, usher, who confessions album sold a mill in a week then the next 1 only sold less than half of confessions. lighten only strikes in 1 spot 1 time n it hit wayne already n moved onto the next. and he didnt even grow as an artist since tha carter 3, i mean the same pic, the same pussy eatin songs n n songs wit no message or point but “hot” lines isnt going no where 4 him

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what
August 24th, 2011 at 9:34 am
thats the stupidest question ive seen here…
if your on it you should post if kobe can score 81 again smh…

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JustaWayneFan Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 11:38 am
@what, good luck to him, i will purchase his album regardless

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Brionna
August 24th, 2011 at 9:37 am
I say in the range of 375k to about 500k

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jasmine
August 24th, 2011 at 9:38 am
NO. we all know Cash Money was the main factor in him selling 1 million the first time. especially since the record was leaked weeks prior. if Baby, which probably will, buys at least 400,000 copies, he’ll do a million.

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TDOT Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 10:08 am
@jasmine, bitch you guzzlin too much cum, damn!

btw Kendall Kardashian >>>>>> Kim K
$$$$$$$
*adjusts wire*

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DwayneC4 Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 12:58 pm
@jasmine, STFU..People always talking abt cashmoney buying their albums..but if so,why EVEN Birdman himself sells lower diggits?get your facts right

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Denver
August 24th, 2011 at 9:38 am
Yeah, he will sell over a million. Just cause he is wayne and everyone wants his newst shit.

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DJ
August 24th, 2011 at 9:44 am
No. His singles aren’t strong enough.

6’7″ = Tried to remake “A milli”, didn’t work.

John = AKA I’m Not A Star pt. 2

How to love = radio hit, but not hip hop

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dooom777 Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 10:07 am
@DJ, She Will?? That ruled..
6 foot 7 foot.. mahn hat is a killer single
how to love.. that is ruling too
john… wayne had a cool verse

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Whatcha_Sayin Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 10:29 am
@dooom777, John was the weakest single – mainly due to Ross but also I wasnt feeling the production. I agree though that 6 foot 7 foot was epic and how to love is…ok. Cant wait for she will to impact properly!

400k-500k is my guess

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GoneByMidnight
August 24th, 2011 at 9:50 am
never, this ain’t 2008. he will have to pull a gaga and sell it for like 3 cents or whatever to come even close to a milli.

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latonya
August 24th, 2011 at 9:52 am
The strongest single he has is 6 foot 7 foot i don’t believe he will go to a million

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AaronMichael
August 24th, 2011 at 9:54 am
20% voted for over 1 million first week sales…gtfoh. No more than 300K-400K and that’s only cause of the name. The singles have all been trash.

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Bloodman
August 24th, 2011 at 10:06 am
All yall hateing. He will do a milli no dobut cause all his singles hit a driffrent class of fans. How to love- Female vote, 6 foot 7 foot- Hip hop vote, John- Pure rap vote. And I forgot nightmare of the bottom which everyone loves. He said in 2008 on the carter documentry “On my albums you are gooing to find Rap the best rap, singing the best songs not the best singing,” and he is providing that for all is fans like he said, and me for one I think it is better than the C3 cause it has a more varity of music.

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UR2FUNNY Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 7:52 pm
@Bloodman, lol and when he doesnt sell dat milli i will gladly come back to this post to laff at ur ass

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BlV
August 24th, 2011 at 10:11 am
Over 1 000 000 21.48%.. Heheheheheh. Thats just silly.

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Cypha
August 24th, 2011 at 10:56 am
Between 300-400 or more like 400-500…. @ the absolute MOST…. 600,0000. People can’t hype this like WTT. I personally feel like it won’t be better than the last Carter album. Plus we didn’t have all these other new talents out. I’m not a huge Nicki fan, but I predict her out selling & out wining all of YM b-cuz of her pop appeal. Drake will do well 2.

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THE MALEZ
August 24th, 2011 at 10:59 am
JUST GO COP WAYNE SHIT!!! HES THE SHIT AND HE DESERVES 2 SALE A MILLI

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UR2FUNNY Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 7:54 pm
@THE MALEZ, really? over hov and kanye? stopit5

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King
August 24th, 2011 at 11:01 am
somethin has to be wrong wit yall if yall think dis crap is gonna sell a mill in a week

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Outspoken Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 11:05 am
@King, Lol agreed.

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YOOSONDALOOSE
August 24th, 2011 at 11:02 am
Not in the first week, I think 400,000-500,000.

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kb
August 24th, 2011 at 11:05 am
nah, not a million

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@bloglilwaynebr
August 24th, 2011 at 11:06 am
Sorry Tunechi…

I don’t think so.

WHY: Actually, I don’t see any benefit on leaking tracks before the album release.

If he change the entire tracklisting of the album, so I can tell you it will hit 2 million in the first week.

That’s it. Anyone desagree or agree?

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shady
August 24th, 2011 at 11:14 am
The only way this will sell more then WTT because of faggots buy it, and because lot of people like his POPmusic, not because it’s better.

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mr 50 cent Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 12:53 pm
@shady, shut up you faggot this is better than watch the throne wayne outselling jay and ye combined..be scared fool..wayne will do a mill…and lastly you sound like a faggot i mean FAGGOT

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`Kaaaaay Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 5:44 pm
@mr 50 cent, Your an idiot. Everything you just said was stupid.

That Is all.

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jj Reply:
August 26th, 2011 at 10:01 am
@`Kaaaaay, i agree with u lmao @mr 50 cent had a pointless and stupid comment

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shady Reply:
August 30th, 2011 at 8:42 am
@`Kaaaaay, Thank you for backing my comment up lol. mr 50 cent is a faggot.

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Isis
August 24th, 2011 at 11:25 am
No, Wayne simply doesn’t have the hype that he carried in 2008. I predict 300-400k, if that. I just may be wrong, but that’s my prediction.

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MaxMillion
August 24th, 2011 at 11:31 am
He should’ve drop the same week as Watch The Throne …

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Ashhab
August 24th, 2011 at 11:49 am
hell YEAH !

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aannnndddd
August 24th, 2011 at 12:00 pm
To be Honest, all the singles lyrically sucked monkey balls

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LOL
August 24th, 2011 at 12:19 pm
Of course not. If Watch The Throne couldnt do it then Wayne sure as hell cant. I havent heard 1 song that I like so I wont be buying anyway.

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Isis Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 12:30 pm
@LOL, I agree. Wayne was ALL over the place when The Carter III was released. He had “Lollipop,” “A Milli,” (which were both SMASHES) and he was featured on almost everyone’s song! This time around, he just isn’t doing it very big. That’s why I predicted 300-400k….

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Canada
August 24th, 2011 at 12:29 pm
I bought Watch the Throne and wont be buying Tha Carter IV. If 6″7″, John, How to Love & She Will are any indication on what the album will sound like, I gotta say “I am Not a Human Being” is a superior album… That’s weak.

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xtray Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 1:42 pm
@Canada, Haven’t bought a album in 7years and finally got this watch the throne album only because I figured it would be good….WRONG. 2 songs were good. The rest, fuckin horrible. The bonus tracks are better than the album. Idk how they say this is the best hip hop album of the decade. Maybe hipPOP. Very disappointed that I bought it and helped there sells.
That being said ima still give the c4 a chance and see…

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wn
August 24th, 2011 at 12:45 pm
i say at least a million in the first week.

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hybrid michael
August 24th, 2011 at 1:02 pm
…in john i thnk the baw$e out shined weezy, i dnt knw if any1 noticed that. bt its a dope hip hop song, he jst went all out on 6”7” n mind u it soundz nthn like a milli, its jst that bangladesh worked on both beats…i alway wana here wat new sh*uhat wayne puting out bt i got a lil indiffrent with ‘she will’ hnstly i thot he cd do better esp with drake up on that…’how to love’ z an absolute classic 4 me, i love the trak, its authentic n it showz another side of weezy, n the video jst came out, incredible! m sure the album z gona b dope as alwayz! bt i’v also noticed that there was alot mo hype with the C III than this C IV, bt weezy has a name n die hard fanz who are very aware of C IV…it myt nt hit platinum in its 1st week bt i knw C IV WILL SELL MO THAN WTT!!!! 600 -700, 000 4 me! #weezy4life

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kingkoopa2nd
August 24th, 2011 at 2:04 pm
how is he going to be selling millions if half of the songs on his album is already out? thats bad marketing. need to fire some people if i were him.

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bknyhustle
August 24th, 2011 at 2:05 pm
yall heard that weezy?

“Talkin’ bout Baby money, I got your Baby money. Kidnap your bitch, keep that, how much you love your lady money?, I know you fake ni99a, press your brakes ni99a, I’ll take you out, that’s a date, ni99a.”

hahaa clear shots at jay…

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R-E-D
August 24th, 2011 at 2:34 pm
nooooooooooo. he is NOT. face facts it is not 008 no more. rikers kill this nigga in his ass & on the paper.
he gone sell this>>>>>>>>>>>>>
150-75K
game
175-200K

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wayne Reply:
August 25th, 2011 at 5:35 pm
@R-E-D, ur iq can probably be written with a single number if you think r.e.d. is better than c4 or if for 1 second think that it will sell less than 300k

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RealMusic
August 24th, 2011 at 2:50 pm
No He won’t sell a milli because the singles are week and the album been pushed back to many damn times

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C94B
August 24th, 2011 at 3:13 pm
I’d say between 400,000 & 600,000. I don’t think he will even score the milli bar after 2 weeks. Or roughly (but that would still be sweet, right ?). Here’s why.

Weezy is super hot, he is Hip-hop’s hottest star today (He has been such for over 3 or 4 years now, in my opinion), and he is constantly mentioned in “Best Rappers Alive” lists. Furthermore, his aura has been constantly been getting bigger and bigger. He’s building up a legacy like Superman would be building up a house.

But is this situation (year, state of the game, etc.) as profitable for him today as it was 3 years ago ? No.

In 2011, the main thing that has changed is competition. It is of course easier to shine when all of the lights are on you. The lights definitely weren’t all on Weezy, but a lot were. More than this year, at least. At this time, he was on a kind of apogee of his future “leader of the game” status. He was experimented, but still coming up.

Today, 3 years after Tha Carter III, this is over. Wayne is a huge name in Hip-Hop, and everybody waits for his album. Which means more people will be disappointed, whether his album is trash or the best of all time.

Meanwhile, hungry up-and-comers (confirmed and rising stars alike) like Drake, J.Cole, Meek Mill, Wale, Wiz Khalifa, Tyler the Creator, etc., are making an impact, day after day, month after month. I can honestly say that the game has never been in a better shape, both commercially and culturally. Rarely in its short -but intense- history has it ever had such a reservoir of talents and variety.

Sure values like The Game, Kanye West/Jay-Z, Eminem(/Royce da 5’9″) have also released a project this year. Drake & J.Cole will release theirs during the autumn. Lil Wayne will not be alone, and due to the extensive amount of works released this year, there will be more comparisons, therefore more detractors, therefore more choices, etcetera etcetera (this is like a vicious circle).

Wayne’s singles have not hyped up the album as they should’ve had, perhaps, and no single on this album will ever be as successful as was Lollipop. Not now, not ever, in my opinion. But he doesn’t need that, does he ? He is an household name not only on Rap music, but in the American music landscape altogether. He is up there as one of the hottest artists in America, along with people like Lady Gaga, Taylor Swift, Katy Perry, etc. Let’s be honest. He is a symbol, even an icon, today, because he does his own thing and godsons others. He’s superactive, it might be the thing that will keep hip up there, but it may also be the thing that will drive him down.

Let’s not forget that records do not sell as much as before, thanks to illegal downloading, pricey physical albums and the fact that people can listen to the whole album for free on the internet. So a million will be reached by an artist who manages to create both a monstrous hype and a general interest around the music rather than in the music itself. Lady Gaga is the example that comes to mind, since the sold 1 million on the 1st week. She is constantly touring, literally around the world, never rests, and captivates by aspects others than her music. Meanwhile, her diet consists in drinking alcohol and other substances. She’s probably the most famous person in the world today, but she will pay it with her life if she carries on that road. Be sure about that. Weezy won’t do it.

This was my take on this. Peace. From France. And sorry if there are some writing mistakes, I did it kind of quickly.

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wayne Reply:
August 25th, 2011 at 5:41 pm
@C94B, wow someone who uses logic and doesnt hate or favor anyone nice comment

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mr_rosewood
August 24th, 2011 at 3:53 pm
if he sell a million ima quit hip hop and listen to country and waka flocka o_0

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UR2FUNNY Reply:
August 24th, 2011 at 7:58 pm
@mr_rosewood, lol

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EPICUSARNAME
August 24th, 2011 at 4:27 pm
I think a lot of people underestimate Weezy,sure I don’t believe he’ll sell a milli,but don’t forget he “was” the artist that “did” sell a milli with C3. I know times have changed with illegal downloads,etc. But people seem to forget his mixtape which wasn’t even original material did absolutely “huge” numbers. Also I think the Tech feature & other high profile features will bring in a few more sales.

But WTT the most hyped album of the year only did in the 400,000s,and albums aren’t selling nearly as well as they were & on a minor note I noticed on an old post the Nicki Stans were dissapointed with no feature.

So weighing up both sides….I reckon mid 400,000s might break 500,000 if he gets some mega publicity stunts up and running. But I’m left with the feeling I might be surprised but I stand by my prediction. Anyone agree?

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EPICUSARNAME
August 24th, 2011 at 4:29 pm
The I Am Still Music tour ought to help too.

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BlV
August 24th, 2011 at 6:20 pm
HipHop rule #1 – No buzz, diss Jay.

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M4L
August 24th, 2011 at 6:28 pm
C4 leaked already and it has over 1 mil downloads lol.

Let’s wait and see if the publicity worked aka Jay Z diss song.

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Kyle
August 24th, 2011 at 7:06 pm
I KNOW he will have strong sales but I honestly don’t think it’s going to sell over 1 million. I would predict anywhere between 400-600K.

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Imad
August 24th, 2011 at 7:26 pm
450,00-650,000..no more, no less. Still gonna be the biggest selling rap album of the year.

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TheOnlyOne
August 24th, 2011 at 8:28 pm
Unless the Nicki Minaj feature is on the Deluxe Edition, Wayne lost a whole heap of potential buyers; TeamMinaj…tbh, she was the only reason I, and many others, were checking for this album… I do think he’ll outsell WTT though, just won’t make it to a million

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Jack
August 25th, 2011 at 12:15 am
If he sales more than 500k he can be very happy. But if the Label buy the most Albums than yes, he can sell a Milli.

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Lion
August 25th, 2011 at 2:27 am
Who cares all the songs suck except Nightmares Of the Bottom fuck lil gayne

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Boss
August 25th, 2011 at 5:17 am
No he won’t, album leaked already

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Hugh
August 25th, 2011 at 5:26 am
800-900 absolute max!

Pundits were saying 750 months ago

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Esther
August 25th, 2011 at 6:00 am
I don’t care how many copies they will sell but i want to tell everyone that listening the songs of lil wayne pleas don’t do know that GOD loves you all and HE went to the cross for our sins don’t let the songs of lil wayne lead you to hell.GOD want that you all go to HEAVEN when HE shall return listen to the word that the MAN of GOD says MAN like BENNY HINN TD JAKES and the others i don’t name.Think about it!!!!GOD blesssseeddd!!!

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Bryan
August 25th, 2011 at 8:14 am
I voted for 400K-500K. I mean, I know we all would want him to sell 1M+, but let’s be real…

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abdo
August 25th, 2011 at 8:16 am
he probably gonna sell over a million copies. i heard the whole album and it’s weak

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maya
August 25th, 2011 at 10:55 am
lmao NO! Those milli days are far gone. No one is checking for Wayne like before. I’d be surprised if he even sold 300k.

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Oonthada
August 25th, 2011 at 5:12 pm
How about we get more anticipated for NEW MUSIC as apposed to album sales? I swear, music is dying. All I hear is “a million that” “#1′ this. Like Lauryn Hill said, “Hip Hop started out in the heart, now everybody tryin’ to chart.”

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BeReal
August 25th, 2011 at 8:53 pm
niggas know they don’t buy CDs anymore so his album will do just as well as all of the other good black celebrities that our people don’t even support, it’ll be #1 on billboard for about 1 or 2 week, then Adele’s album or Eminem’s will creep back up because white people actually support their artist in the stores unlike us. Hopefully that won’t be the case but thats the most likely outcome :/

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GOD Reply:
August 26th, 2011 at 12:15 am
@BeReal, Eminem’s album hasn’t been #1 for a while. And a lot of black people who aren’t racist like you like Eminem just like a lot of white people like Lil Wayne

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BeReal Reply:
August 26th, 2011 at 12:07 pm
@GOD, I’m not racist I’m just saying that a lot of “die hard wayne supporters” will just download his CD so that they can be the first one with it and when the CD hits stores they don’t support it by actually buying the song. Record labels don’t look at the number of free copies that people downloaded from websites they look at actual number of record sells, the number of weeks the album is on the billboards, etc so I’m not trying to say no black people like Eminem but rather that its ridiculous that all these other people like Katy Perry, Eminem, Taylor Swift, and Adele are breaking all these records and we don’t have too many of our well deserved artist up there with them because people would rather download it for free than to buy the album

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Spida
August 26th, 2011 at 12:56 am
I don’t think that he will get 1million sales in just a week. He probably will reach that target though. I am pretty certain that at least 20-30% of his 30million facebook fans will be getting Carter IV

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WEST
August 26th, 2011 at 1:50 am
All his singles were weak…

[Reply]
Lil’ Wayne’s “The Carter IV” Set to Blow “Watch The Throne” Out the Charts….. « NewPrentiss Productions
August 30th, 2011 at 5:25 pm
[...] reviews from critics, but that doesn’t seem to be stunting sales. Based on results of our online poll, 25 percent of readers think the album will top the 1 million [...]
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February 11th, 2012 at 4:43 am
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